The Bank of England today confirmed what many had suspected but could not prove: the mere prospect of Brexit is having an effect on the British economy. Mark Carney, the BoE's governor, warned that Brexit uncertainty "weighs on the decisions of businesses and households and holds down both demand and supply." It came as no surprise then that the central bank reduced its GDP forecasts for both this year and next. Adam Posen, a former member of the interest rate setting Monetary Policy Committee, told me his timing for the economic slump was off. Posen had expected the drop immediately after the referendum. But similar to Looney Tunes cartoon character Wile E. Coyote, the British economy ran off a cliff…and kept running, until it suddenly realized there was nothing underneath. Now, it's falling. Okay – maybe that is too pessimistic, but it's clear the economic problems are starting to arrive. This won't upset the Brexiters. Recall the recent survey that showed three out of five who those voted for Brexit didn't care that there would be adverse economic consequences. They are arriving. -Richard.Quest@cnn.com |
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