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Friday, November 3, 2017

The Point: Donald Trump is in a very bad polling place

November 3, 2017  by Chris Cillizza and Saba Hamedy

Donald Trump is in a very bad polling place

President Donald Trump has never been terribly popular with the American public. But, in the last month, Trump has seen a sustained dip in his numbers that have to be concerning to the poll-obsessed president.

This chart -- courtesy of the immensely talented Ryan Struyk -- details the dismal data for The Donald:


Of the 10 major national polls conducted over the last month, the highest -- repeat: the highest -- Trump's approval rating has been is 38%. The lowest is 33%. Trump's average approval rating over those 10 polls is 37.1%. His average disapproval? 57.1%.

That Trump is at his polling nadir is also born out by Gallup.

Trump's weekly average in Gallup's daily tracking poll is at just 35% for the week of October 29. That matches the lowest Trump approval ratings for any week of his presidency to date.  (Trump's approval averaged 35% for the week of August 27.)

Here's a look at the weekly trend for Trump approval in Gallup polling since the start of his presidency:



And, remember that these polls all miss this past week of Russia revelations -- none of which look particularly good for the President or his administration

Trump will spend the better part of the next two weeks in Asia, a trip he left for Friday morning. Typically, foreign trips by a president help stabilize or even boost approval numbers slightly as patriotism kicks in.

But Trump has already tweeted repeatedly en route to Asia. And national security adviser HR McMaster made clear earlier in the week that Trump would go right on being Trump -- in Asia or not. His polling dip suggests that people aren't responding to that approach. That doesn't mean Trump will stop doing it.

--Chris

RUSSIA RECAP

As Chris wrote earlier today, this is the week Russia got very real for Donald Trump. We asked CNN's Marshall Cohen to give us our end-of-week Russia news recap.

The indictments of Paul Manafort and Rick Gates were huge news, and they demonstrate that special counsel Robert Mueller is taking an aggressive approach. But we also learned about Trump campaign adviser George Papadopoulos, who pleaded guilty to lying to the FBI about his contacts with Russians. This was a major surprise, even to those of us who have tracked the Russia investigation all year. The Papadopoulos affair, by and large, didn't come to light until the court records were unsealed this week. It naturally begs the question: What else does Mueller have up his sleeve? It's hard to measure exactly what other "unknown unknowns" he has yet to reveal.  

QUOTE OF THE DAY

"I don't remember much about that meeting."
-President Trump re: the now-controversial March 2016 meeting with his foreign policy advisers, including George Papadopoulos

CHRIS' GOOD READS

Me, after this week.

Evan Halper and David Lauter detail what Democrats learned in the year since Donald Trump won

The new politics of country music as explained by WaPo's Emily Yahr

Why don't we ever hear about Donald Trump's mom? asks Politico's Michael Kruse

This Chloe Melas story on Kevin Spacey. Wow.

Marc Stein on The Greek Freak

MUSICAL INTERLUDE

Twenty-two years after her death, musician Selena is being honored with a star on the Hollywood Walk of Fame. Listen to her best hits -- including "Bidi Bidi Bom Bom" -- here.

ICYMI: A TWITTER TALE FOR THE AGES

The President's personal twitter account went dark around 7 p.m. EST Thursday for 11 minutes.  Hours later, in a stunning plot twist, the world learned it wasn't a glitch -- but the work of a Twitter customer support employee on his or her last day at work. 

Trump's reaction? "I guess the word must finally be getting out-and having an impact," he tweeted.

Read more in CNN's news story here and read CNN reporter Laurie Segall's story on why this takedown is a big deal.

#2020 WATCH

From CNN's Eric Bradner and Caroline Kenny:

"Former Vice President Joe Biden ripped into Trump on Wednesday, calling Trump a 'charlatan' at the Chicago Council of Global Affairs. 'Ladies and gentlemen, silence is complicity,' Biden said. 'I will continue to stand up and speak out.' Politico's Edward-Isaac Dovere has more.

Biden also filmed a 33-second home video for Joyce Craig, the Democratic candidate for mayor of Manchester, New Hampshire. Watch it here. Biden had previously cut a video for eight Democratic candidates for judgeships in Pennsylvania.

Biden isn't slowing down his efforts to work toward an end to cancer. On Wednesday, Biden will be speaking at an event put on by Axios titled "Future Shapers: A New Era in Cancer Innovation" at the National Constitution Center in Philadelphia. He'll be joined by his wife, Jill Biden, along with oncologists, cancer survivors and others working towards the same goal of ending cancer."


Read more from Eric's #2020 Vision memo here.

IVANKA FAN CLUB

CNN's Betsy Klein is in Japan, where she covered Ivanka Trump's speech about women's participation in the economy at the World Assembly for Women, an annual conference sponsored by the Japanese government. She's spotted a lot of Ivanka love on the streets of Tokyo (including the above fans with signs). The visit made front page news in Tokyo. Trump also grabbed dinner with Shinzo Abe, Japan's Prime Minister, at Hoshinoya Tokyo, where they dined on "traditional Nippon cuisine," per Betsy. 

YOUR DAILY GIF

H/T CNN's Brenna WillYAMS 
Happy Friday! We're rolling into the weekend like Paul Manafort (see GIF). Remind everyone you know to subscribe to The Point. 
We'd love to share our other newsletters with you. Follow this link for daily coverage of the world's top stories, savvy market insights, an insider's look into the media and more. Our authors for The Point are Chris Cillizza and Saba Hamedy. Send your tips and thoughts via email to Chris or Saba. Follow on Twitter: Chris and Saba.
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