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Wednesday, November 27, 2019

The Point: Who's been where? From Iowa to Nevada, a heat map


November 27, 2019  | by Lauren Dezenski
Welcome to a special holiday week edition of the Point newsletter, where we slow down a bit to take a wider look at the current 2020 field.

We'll be off Thursday and Friday for the Thanksgiving holiday -- and back Sunday for Chris' 2020 campaign edition. Happy Thanksgiving!

Who's been where? From Iowa to Nevada, a 2020 heat map

Where the presidential candidates spend most of their time says a lot.

We looked at data showing the number of campaign visits from each of the four early-voting states: Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada and South Carolina. Who's spent the most time campaigning in each state might surprise you.

In Iowa (thanks to data from the Des Moines Register), it's John Delaney, with more than 230 events -- though it does help that he's been running for president since summer of 2017. Behind him: Amy Klobuchar has held 114 events in Iowa and Julián Castro has held 108.

That doesn't directly translate to success in the polls: Delaney and Castro registered a whopping 0% in the latest CNN/Iowa poll. Klobuchar has a more promising 6%, perhaps helped by the Minnesota senator's neighboring-state name recognition, but nowhere near current Iowa front-runner Pete Buttigieg's 25%. 

It's a similar story in the other early-voting states.

New Hampshire's most frequent flier? Among Democrats, it's Tulsi Gabbard, with 45 events, followed closely by Klobuchar's 44 events, then Marianne Williamson with 43, according to data from New Hampshire Public Radio. Gabbard and Williamson both have 0% support in the latest CBS/YouGov poll, while Klobuchar clocks in at 3%. Republican Bill Weld has actually held the most events there, with 66 total.

Candidates have visited Nevada the least of the early states -- by far. Kamala Harris has made the most stops there in the 2020 cycle, with 14 visits, according to the Nevada Independent's data. Harris is sitting at 4% support, according to the latest Fox News poll.

And in South Carolina, Harris and Cory Booker, who have worked to boost their profiles among black voters, have made the most stops. As of now, that face time isn't showing up in polling. A recent Quinnipiac poll showed Harris at 3% and Booker at 2%. 

On the GOP side, President Donald Trump has been on the trail in recent months, too. He held a homecoming rally Tuesday night to mark his recent official move to south Florida.

The Point: Candidates' time on the trail, of course, is a long-term investment. But with just under 70 days left until the Iowa caucuses, there's not a lot of time left to see that big payoff. 

🎧 Who's where and why? Listen to the latest Point podcast for more.

WHO IS STILL ACTUALLY RUNNING

Can't keep track of who's still in the race? Join the club. Here's a handy list of the 18 Democrats in the running. And the three Republicans, too.

2020-CENTRIC GOOD READS

The Associated Press has a 2020 candidate field guide on the issues

Investigating Tulsi Gabbard's appeal 

On Donald Trump Jr. and Lara Trump's potential political future

Andrew Yang is going all-in on Iowa

Bloomberg's run puts Bloomberg News in an awkward spot

Credit card companies are cashing in on Bernie Sanders' small donors

THE HEART OF HEALTH CARE SUPPORT

Health care dominated the 2018 election -- and already Democrats say they want to hear about health care more than any other issue in 2020.

That might explain why Democrats have spent so much time talking about "Medicare for All." It's hugely popular among Democratic voters (77% support) -- but less so among independents: 52% back it, according to November polling from the Kaiser Family Foundation. There's even less support among Republicans: Only 27% back it. 

But a government-administered health care option known as a public option is more popular than "Medicare for All" across all parties, including with independents and Republicans.

A public option would be a government-administered plan that competes with private options, while "Medicare for All" means all Americans would get their health insurance from a single government plan.

Eighty-eight percent of Democrats favor a public option, while 69% of independents do. Even 41% of Republicans favor a public option.

YOUR 2020 LOOKAHEAD

Just a taste of what's on the horizon in 2020-land:

December 19: Democratic primary debate in Los Angeles

February 3: Iowa caucuses

February 11: New Hampshire primary

March 3: Super Tuesday

On to the general ....

September 29: First general election presidential debate at the University of Notre Dame in Notre Dame, Indiana

ONE LAST THING

THANK YOU!

Loyal readers like you make this newsletter a joy to work on every day. We are thankful for you. Thanks for reading and have a great Thanksgiving holiday!
We'd love to share our other newsletters with you. Follow this link for daily coverage of the world's top stories, savvy market insights, an insider's look into the media, and more. Send your tips and thoughts via email to Chris Cillizza and Lauren Dezenski. Follow Chris and Lauren on Twitter.
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