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Friday, January 10, 2020

What to expect from the US jobs report; Troubling documents from Boeing; CEOs leave at a record pace

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By Julia Horowitz • Friday, January 10

Good morning, everyone. In today's newsletter: What to expect from the December US jobs report. Plus, Boeing just released a flood of troubling internal documents, and CEO turnover hit a record high in 2019.

US stock futures are up, suggesting that the Dow could hit 29,000 for the first time in history. Markets in Europe mostly gained in early trading. Stocks in Asia were mixed. Hong Kong's Hang Seng and Japan's Nikkei rose, while the Shanghai Composite lost ground. 

 Forwarded this newsletter? Want global markets news and analysis from CNN Business reporters every morning? You can sign up here

What's happening now in markets:
 Dow futures 29,008 (+0.3%)
  S&P futures 3,287 (+0.3%)
 Nasdaq futures 9,052 (+0.5%)
Hang Seng 28,638 (+0.3%)
▼ US 10-year yield 1.855%
 Gold $1,550 (-0.2%)
 US oil $59.66 (+0.2%)

 MARKET DATA AS OF 6:25 AM ET

MARKET FLASH

The US jobs report could give markets another boost


Investors like to be reminded that the American economy is still churning out jobs.

That's why markets could get a boost Friday from the US jobs report. Economists polled by Reuters expect that 164,000 jobs were added in December. That's weaker than last month, when the return of General Motors employees after a six-week long strike boosted the headline number to 266,000. But it's still strong.

"The underlying job creation trend has been solid if not slightly improving," Robert Kavcic, senior economist at BMO, wrote in a note to clients, according to my CNN Business colleague Anneken Tappe.
A tight labor market is an important part of maintaining consumer spending and the services industry, which has been compensating for weakness in US manufacturing. 

James Knightley, chief international economist at ING, predicts that 150,000 jobs were added in December. He pointed to softness in the manufacturing sector as the reason he's bracing for "mild" disappointment. 

Remember: Data from the Institute of Supply Management last week showed that employment at US factories in December dropped to the lowest level in four years.

Should the number come in at 150,000, as Knightley expects, the US economy will have added 177,000 jobs per month on average in 2019, compared to 223,000 per month in 2018. 

This would be the slowest average growth since 2011, according to Knightley. But he thinks that because the year ended on a strong note, it "should help to keep consumer confidence supported in early 2020."
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VOICES

The World Bank is worried about piles of debt

 

"Low global interest rates provide only a precarious protection against financial crises."


WORLD BANK PROSPECTS GROUP DIRECTOR AYHAN KASE
 

Read more from CNN Business.

 

CORPORATE WATCH

Boeing just released a flood of troubling 737 Max documents


Boeing employees ridiculed the 737 Max's regulatory certification progress and crudely expressed doubts about the plane's ability to fly safely, according to a trove of newly released internal documents.

Why we've seen them: The company on Thursday sent the documents — more than 100 pages in all — to the House and Senate committees that have been probing its design of the troubled 737 Max plane, which was grounded last March after two crashes that claimed 346 lives. 

Many of the pages detail internal communications shared by Boeing employees while 737 Max simulators were developed and certified in 2017 and 2018.

One conversation: "Honesty is the only way in this job — integrity when lives are on the line on the aircraft and training programs shouldn't be taken with a pinch of salt," wrote one Boeing worker to another in messages that were emailed in February 2018. "Would you put your family on a MAX simulator trained aircraft? I wouldn't." The other worker responded: "No."

There's more: Messages that were emailed in April 2017, a month after the first version of the plane was certified, show that one employee described the airplane as "designed by clowns, who in turn are supervised by monkeys."

Boeing, which also released the documents to the media, said Thursday that the communications "do not reflect the company we are and need to be, and they are completely unacceptable." Shares of the company, which rose 1.5% Thursday, are up slightly in premarket trading.

Also happening: The US and its allies think a Ukrainian airliner made by Boeing that crashed near Tehran may have been shot down by surface-to-air missiles.

UP NEXT


The US jobs report for December posts at 8:30 a.m. ET. That includes data on jobs added to the US economy, as well as the unemployment rate and wage growth.

Coming next week: Earnings season kicks off with airlines and US banks.


WHAT WE'RE READING AND WATCHING

 Mark Zuckerberg's 2020 resolution: No more annual goals (CNN Business)
 Money-losing companies mushroom even as stocks hit new highs (WSJ)
 iPhones are flying off the shelves in China again (CNN Business)
 Life on the run is proving expensive for Carlos Ghosn (Bloomberg)
 2020 could be the defining year for the cannabis industry (CNN Business)
 China's bid to challenge Boeing and Airbus falters (Reuters)

FINAL WORD

2019 was a record year for CEO turnover


CEO departures reached a record high in 2019. At US-based companies, and well as organizations in the government and nonprofit sectors, 1,640 chief executives left their posts, according to Challenger, Gray & Christmas.

While the majority of exiting CEOs left for conventional reasons — such as getting another job or retiring — 35 left due to scandal or allegations of professional misconduct, my CNN Business colleague Jeanne Sahadi reports.

Forgotten last year already? High-profile departures included Boeing's Dennis Muilenburg, WeWork's Adam Neumann, United Airlines' Oscar Munoz, Alphabet's Larry Page, Best Buy's Hubert Joly, Nike's Mark Parker, McDonald's Steve Easterbrook and SoulCycle's Melanie Whelan.

[A quick note: Thursday's newsletter included an incorrect title for Tilak Doshi. He's a visiting senior fellow at the National University of Singapore's Middle East Institute.]

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