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Tuesday, October 30, 2018

The Point: Wait, so Hillary might run for president again?

October 30, 2018  by Chris Cillizza and Lauren Dezenski

Wait, so Hillary might run for president again?

Sheeeeeeeee's back!

Maybe.

In an interview with Recode's Kara Swisher released over the weekend, former secretary of state and two-time presidential candidate Hillary Clinton left the door wide open to a run for president in 2020.

Swisher asked Clinton about whether she wanted to run again. After a pause, Clinton said: "No. No."  Pressed gently by Swisher, Clinton added this -- which raised my eyebrows (bolding is mine):

"Well I'd like to be president. I think, hopefully, when we have a Democrat in the Oval Office in January of 2021, there's going to be so much work to be done. I mean we have confused everybody in the world, including ourselves. We have confused our friends and our enemies. They have no idea what the United States stands for, what we're likely to do, what we think is important, so the work would be work that I feel very well prepared for having been at the Senate for eight years, having been a diplomat in the State Department, and it's just going to be a lot of heavy lifting."

Then she added: "I'm not even going to even think about it 'til we get through this November 6 election about what's going to happen after that."

Um, whoa.

Clinton has been at this a VERY long time. And because of that depth of experience, she knows what refusing to rule out a third presidential bid means. And she definitely knows what suggesting that a) she'd like to be president and b) that she has the right experience to be president means.

My guess is that Clinton looks at the massive field shaping up -- and with former Vice President Joe Biden as its ostensible frontrunner -- and thinks, Why the heck should I take myself out of the running? After all, if there is any message coming out of the 2018 Democratic primaries, it's that the party seems to badly want to nominate a woman.

And, retreads can't be that big an issue if Biden (two past runs for president) and Bernie Sanders (ran for president in 2016) are two of the favorites. Ditto Clinton's age as an issue. Trump is 72 years old. Biden will be 77 on Election Day 2020. Sanders will be 79. Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren will be 71.  All of which means that Clinton, who will be 73 on Election Day 2020, is in the middle of the senior pack.

The bigger issue for Clinton may be whether Democrats are interested in the prospect of her running again. In a September Gallup Poll, a historic low 36% had a favorable opinion of Clinton. While Democrats were considerably more supportive -- at 77% favorable -- even their support had dropped by double digits since the 2016 election.

The Point: I'm still skeptical that Clinton runs in 2020. Or that the party would support such a bid in major numbers. But Clinton clearly wants to allow herself the option to consider running once she sees how the 2018 election shakes out. Which is veeeeerrrry interesting.

-- Chris

QUOTE OF THE DAY

"Well you obviously cannot do that. You cannot end birthright citizenship with an executive order."

-- Soon-to-be-former House Speaker Paul Ryan weighing in on (but not completely disavowing) President Trump's interest in ending birthright citizenship without a constitutional amendment.

THE POINT ON YOUTUBE!

The October surprise that could change this election

Chris looks at some of history's biggest October surprises to get a sense of how last-minute stories could impact the midterm elections.

THE MOST EXPENSIVE HOUSE RACES IN THE COUNTRY

The following races are the five most expensive in the country, according to TV ad spending by both parties.
  1. Florida-26: $21 million (Rep. Carlos Curbelo vs. Debbie Mucarsel-Powell
  2. Washington-08: $20 million (Dino Rossi vs. Kim Schrier)
  3. Pennsylvania-01: $20 million (Rep. Brian Fitzpatrick vs. Scott Wallace
  4. California-25: $19 million (Rep. Steve Knight vs. Katie Hill)
  5. Michigan-08: $18 million (Rep. Mike Bishop vs. Elissa Slotkin)
Info from CMAG Data, compiled by our colleague David Wright.

CHRIS' GOOD READS

Maggie Haberman talked to Barbra Streisand about Donald Trump. Need I say more?

Rahm Emanuel thinks governor's races are the real story of 2018

12 young people explain why they aren't going to vote in seven days

The Boston Globe's Whitey Bulger obit is as good as you would expect

RIP, Matthew Tully

MUSICAL INTERLUDE

John Prine went on "The Tonight Show" and sang "When I Get to Heaven." And, yes, it was awesome.

INSTA POINT

ONE WEEK TO GO

We're a week away from Election Day and President Donald Trump has, as expected, rolled out a jam-packed travel schedule to lead into the midterms:

Wednesday: Fort Myers, Florida
Thursday: Columbia, Missouri
Friday: Huntington, West Virginia, and Indianapolis, Indiana
Saturday: Belgrade, Montana, and Pensacola, Florida
Sunday: Macon, Georgia, and Chattanooga, Tennessee
Monday: Cleveland, Ohio; Fort Wayne, Indiana, and Cape Girardeau, Missouri

The broadest takeaway? As Chris writes: "Trump is focused heavily on keeping the Senate in GOP hands, perhaps a tacit acknowledgment that the Republican House majority is already gone."

Speaking of Trump rallies, Pharrell is not happy the President played his song "Happy" at a rally after the synagogue mass shooting. 

#2020 WATCH

Trump's most likely challengers from the left

Heading into the midterms, Chris reveals the strongest Democratic contenders for the presidential nomination in 2020.

THE KIDS ARE ALRIGHT

Meet 10 candidates younger than 30 (one is 19!) on the ballot this November, as profiled by CNN's Tiara ChiaramonteMadeleine Stix and Samantha Guff.

"There's a massive age gap between US government representatives and those they represent. Adults under 30 make up nearly 22% of voting-aged citizens in the United States, yet they are sorely underrepresented at all levels of government."

Among this new crop of candidates, "while their parties and platforms varied, every candidate believes their generation needs to be heard."

YOUR DAILY GIF

From Brenna: "Believe it or not (you should believe it), this is Sen. Cory Booker doing his Strom Thurmond impression. Do you think Booker's good at charades? Share The Point with your charades team!"
We'd love to share our other newsletters with you. Follow this link for daily coverage of the world's top stories, savvy market insights, an insider's look into the media, and more. Send your tips and thoughts via email to Chris Cillizza and Lauren Dezenski. Follow Chris and Lauren on Twitter.

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