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Tuesday, October 29, 2019

The Point: Biden's bad news in New Hampshire


October 29, 2019  | by Lauren Dezenski

Biden's bad news in New Hampshire

No candidate saw a more precipitous decline than Joe Biden in a new poll of New Hampshire Democrats. The former vice president's support dropped 9 points between July and October, to 15%, in a new poll from CNN and SSRS.

No other candidates saw significant dips in their support during that time.

Sens. Bernie Sanders of Vermont and Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts lead the pack with 21% and 18%, respectively.

The new poll shows 36% of voters believe Biden has the best chance of beating President Donald Trump, but Warren has gained on him here as well, climbing from 9% in July to 18%.

Compare this with the CNN/Des Moines Register Iowa poll in late September, where Biden held relatively steady, with a slight decrease in support to 20%, following Warren's 22%.

This all doesn't look good for Biden, whose lackluster fundraising numbers don't pair well with softening showings in early-voting state polling. But Biden world doesn't seem content to go calmly into the second tier.

A former Biden aide has launched a super PAC to help the candidate navigate the Democratic presidential primary and defend against attacks from Trump. Last week, the Biden campaign indicated it was dropping its opposition to the creation of an outside group that would defend against well-financed attacks from Trump's campaign.

The Point: This new poll out of New Hampshire is bad news for Joe Biden, no doubt about it.

-- Lauren

QUOTE OF THE DAY

"A lot of the work that the President's had me doing over the last three years has actually been cleaning up the messes that Vice President Biden left behind."

-- Jared Kushner, citing the Trump administration's criminal justice legislation, in an interview with Israel Channel 13's Barak Ravid released on Tuesday. 

THE RESOLUTION MAKES IT OFFICIAL

On Thursday, the House plans to vote to formalize the impeachment investigation -- the first formal, public vote in the House related to impeaching the President. 

The resolution provides the procedural details for how the House will move its impeachment inquiry into its next phase. 

Read that entire resolution here

LAUREN'S GOOD READS

New from Brianna Keilar: For Gold Star families, the ultimate sacrifice comes heavily taxed

The fires in California are about to go from bad to worse

The NYT food critic eviscerated the iconic Peter Luger steakhouse

If you can't say it with a novelty sweatshirt, is it even worth saying?

Ghost face in space!! 

MUSICAL INTERLUDE

This Ariana Grande/Lizzo remix lives up to its name.

BASEBALL & POLITICS

Why Trump didn't throw out the World Series first pitch

Chris reviews the history of US presidents and baseball and delves into why Trump didn't throw out the ceremonial first pitch this weekend.

Keep swinging with The Point on YouTube. And go Nats!

LAUREN'S CAMPAIGN TRAIL LATEST

Joe Biden: Was denied communion at a Catholic South Carolina church on Sunday because of his support for abortion rights.

Pete Buttigieg: Has qualified for the December debate, thanks to the latest CNN/SSRS New Hampshire poll.

Bernie Sanders: Said he doesn't need to come up with "an exact detailed plan" right now on how to pay for "Medicare for All."

Marianne Williamson: Will air her first TV ad of the cycle on Wednesday about reparations. She spent $244 total for three spots in a single Columbia, South Carolina, cable zone on BET, CNN and MSNBC.

ONE BIG FACELIFT

The Point daily audio briefing has a new logo and title! Tune in every weekday to hear Lauren cut through the political spin to bring you the news you need to know. Listen, subscribe and enjoy.
We'd love to share our other newsletters with you. Follow this link for daily coverage of the world's top stories, savvy market insights, an insider's look into the media, and more. Send your tips and thoughts via email to Chris Cillizza and Lauren Dezenski. Follow Chris and Lauren on Twitter.
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