It is getting increasingly difficult to understand what's happening in this market when you try to figure out the trend and its likely future direction. Oh, I'm not talking about soothsaying or reading the tea leaves to try and figure out which way the market is heading. I'm talking about the underlying currents that are starting to carry investors and their money in a particular direction . For instance, the 10-year US Treasury note has now gone above 3%. That in itself has certain implications for the rotation of money out of equities and into fixed income. You also have earnings season. We've already had results from many companies, including Caterpillar, 3M, Coca-Cola and GE. Investors are even punishing stocks of companies with good results. Take 3M, for example. In a market that's priced to perfection, if you're not bang on the nose, saying the future is looking bright … then you are going to feel a caning from investors. And that's before we add in all the extras. Toss in worries over a trade war with China, geopolitics playing out in Syria, and issues with Iran. Add in domestic politics in the United States, with the Mueller investigation and where does that leave you? It leaves both you and the market exhausted. |
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