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Thursday, April 12, 2018

Facebook regulation; Xi's olive branch; Volkswagen drama

Quest's Profitable Moment

What's new ... what's next

1. Zuckerberg and Facebook win in Washington

Mark Zuckerberg sat through 10 hours of questions from Congress about the Cambridge Analytica data scandal. What did we learn? Wall Street thinks the worst is over. Facebook shares rallied this week, pushing up Zuckerberg's net worth by about $3 billion. But the stock still lags other big techs this year. And some think Zuckerberg got off easy. We didn't learn how much data Facebook collects on users. Zuckerberg dodged questions about how long it takes Facebook to purge data when somebody deletes the app. And he took heat about illegal opioid drug sale posts on Facebook and Instagram. 

2. Wall Street's trade nightmare eases, for now

Fears of an imminent trade war have faded, thanks largely to an olive branch from Chinese President Xi Jinping. The stock market breathed a huge sigh of relief after a conciliatory speech by Xi cooled the tensions. President Trump praised Xi's promise for lower auto tariffs — even though analysts noted the promise was mostly recycled, not a dramatic departure in policy. Wall Street is hoping China will deliver on its promise to lift restrictions on foreign lenders. Big banks stand to make gobs of money in China. But they also face serious political and regulatory risks. And a potential debt bubble.

3. How US sanctions could hit your wallet

US sanctions aimed at punishing Russian oligarchs close to President Vladimir Putin could make your soda or your luxury car more expensive. The price of aluminum has surged 10% since the United States imposed tough new sanctions on Rusal, a leading metal producer controlled by Russian oligarch Oleg Deripaska. If sustained, that price hike could push up the cost of making a range of industrial and consumer products, including cars, airplanes, soda cans and pharmaceutical packaging.

4. Volkswagen gets a new CEO 

Volkswagen has announced a sudden management overhaul. After just three years at the helm, CEO Matthias Mueller is stepping down. Mueller took the role as public outrage peaked over the company's diesel emissions scandal. He's being replaced by Volkswagen brand chief Herbert Diess. Investors seem to be excited about the change — shares in Volkswagen spiked earlier this week after the company said it was considering management changes.

5. Quick Takes:

Oil prices jumped to a four-year high this week, as investors worried about increased fighting in the Middle East. And summer driving will be more expensive this year, thanks to OPEC.

Financial stress in the retail industry is at a historic high. Nine American retailers have already defaulted this year.

Xi's pledge to lower tariffs on US cars sounds like great news for American workers and companies. But it's not quite as exciting as it sounds.

Investors are struggling to understand conflicting messages on US-China trade policy, including President Trump's erratic tweets.

The new chief executive of Deutsche Bank is everything his predecessor was not.

6. What's next:

The return of earnings season: Citigroup, JPMorgan Chase and Wells Fargo will report quarterly earnings on Friday. More banks will report next week: Bank of America, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, American Express and Bank of New York Mellon. Netflix and GE are among the other companies on deck.

How much US debt does China hold? The US Treasury will announce the amount of American bonds that each foreign country owns. China, which holds the most, reduced its stake in recent months. The United States will rely on foreign nations to buy its debt so it can pay for its growing deficit, exacerbated by the recent spending bill and tax cuts.
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