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Monday, September 30, 2019

The Point: This impeachment poll has ZERO good news for Trump


September 30, 2019  | by Chris Cillizza and Lauren Dezenski

This impeachment poll has ZERO good news for Trump

The big news out of CNN's new national poll is that, for the first time since we started asking the question in June 2018, more people think President Donald Trump should be impeached than believe he shouldn't.

Which is bad for the President! But there are other numbers in the poll that make clear that, at least at the moment, the President is losing the battle of public opinion on impeachment.

Consider:

* More people (49%) believe Democrats are pursuing impeachment because they think Trump has crossed a line than say Democrats are simply out to get Trump (38%).

* Conversely, roughly equal numbers of people believe Republican opposition to Trump's impeachment is based on a genuine belief that he did nothing impeachable (43%) versus a desire to protect the President at all costs (42%).

* A near-majority (48%) say that Trump used the presidency "improperly" in regard to his interaction with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, while 39% say he did not.

Every data point is bad for Trump in the polling released by CNN on Monday evening. Every one.

Now, it is absolutely possible that the newness of this Ukraine story coupled with the wall-to-wall coverage it has received over the past 10-ish days has produced a polling bump for impeachment that, as the House Democrats' investigation drags on, will fade. We are a nation of short attention spans and, because of that, it's very hard to gauge whether we are looking at a temporary change in the political realities surrounding impeachment or some more permanent tectonic plate-shifting.

But for Trump, numbers like these will only add to his agitation and irritation at his predicament. And further the pressure he feels to do something -- anything! -- to change the national conversation to friendlier ground.

The Point: As the past 72 hours of manic Trump activity on Twitter have revealed, the President is deeply engaged in trying to change the narrative surrounding this impeachment inquiry. So far, no good.

-- Chris

QUOTE OF THE DAY

"The Senate would have to take up an impeachment resolution if it came over from the House."

-- Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell said the chamber "would have no choice but to" consider articles of impeachment if they pass the House.

EVERYBODY'S WORKING FOR THE RECESS

Congress may technically be on recess this week, but committees under the impeachment investigation umbrella are back to work investigating the President.

Today, the House Intelligence Committee subpoenaed Rudy Giuliani, Trump's personal lawyer, for Ukraine-related documents. The subpoena requires Giuliani to produce several categories of documents (like text messages, phone records and other communications) by October 15.

The committee also has two scheduled depositions for State Department officials: Ambassador Marie "Masha" Yovanovitch on Wednesday and Ambassador Kurt Volker on Thursday. Transcripts from those depositions will be a part of the impeachment inquiry, according to the committee. 

CHRIS' GOOD READS

Another woman has come forward to say Al Franken groped her 

A comprehensive timeline on Hunter Biden and Ukraine

President Pence???

Bill Maher's unpredictable politics

Why music moves us

Lawns, man. Lawns.

MUSICAL INTERLUDE

This is a VERY good cover of "Re: Stacks" by Bon Iver (Shout out to Point editor Leigh Munsil for finding it!)

COUNTDOWN TO ELECTION NIGHT

It's getting closer ... We're now 400 days away from Election Day 2020(!) 

LAUREN'S CAMPAIGN TRAIL LATEST

Cory Booker: Says his campaign met the November debate's fundraising threshold. He has not yet met the polling requirements.

Bernie Sanders: Would tax companies with large pay gaps between their executives and workers to target income inequality.

Joe Biden: Continues to hold his lead in South Carolina, according to new CNN polling.

Donald Trump: Spent between $600,000 and $2 million in campaign money on 1,800 ads on Trump's Facebook page mentioning "impeachment" over the last seven days.

ONE BIG NUMBER

6

Rep. Mac Thornberry is the sixth House Republican from Texas to exit this session. He's served in Congress since 1994.

Thornberrry is the 17th House Republican and 22nd House member overall to announce they'll be retiring from their seat at the end of the term.
We'd love to share our other newsletters with you. Follow this link for daily coverage of the world's top stories, savvy market insights, an insider's look into the media, and more. Send your tips and thoughts via email to Chris Cillizza and Lauren Dezenski. Follow Chris and Lauren on Twitter.
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