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Wednesday, September 11, 2019

The Point: The Democratic primary has some serious layers


September 11, 2019  | by Lauren Dezenski and Chris Cillizza

The Democratic primary has some serious layers

Among the field of current Democratic contenders for president, there are four distinct, defined layers. And we see those four clear tiers in CNN's latest polling on the race with SSRS.

Think of it like a layer cake. 

At the top sits Joe Biden, riding high at 24% support. Biden has maintained that front-runner position since he entered the race in April.

CNN polling director Jenn Agiesta writes: Biden's lead rests on his support among black voters, among whom he leads by a wide margin with 42% backing him and his nearest competitor -- [Bernie] Sanders -- earning just 12% support.

There is a solid 6 percentage points separating Biden from the next tier.

Elizabeth Warren clocks in at 18%, immediately followed by Sanders with 17%.

If you want any proof that Sanders and Warren (and, of course, Biden) are in a different realm from the rest of the field, the proof is in the frosting between the second and third tiers. It's a 9-point difference between third-place Sanders and fourth-place Kamala Harris -- and Harris' tier of support doesn't even register in the double digits. 

In that third tier: Harris at 8%, Pete Buttigieg with 6% and Beto O'Rourke has 5%. It's worth noting all three of these candidates have experienced boomlets -- Harris' post-first-debate surge, Buttigieg's super-impressive fundraising and O'Rourke's buzzy campaign start and subsequent reboot late this summer. But all three currently are locked in the same polling position closer to the back of the pack than the front-runner.

The remaining candidates all capture 2% or less: Cory Booker, Tulsi Gabbard, Andrew Yang, Michael Bennet, Julian Castro, Bill de Blasio, Amy Klobuchar, Tim Ryan, Tom Steyer, Marianne Williamson, Steve Bullock, John Delaney and Joe Sestak. 

The Point: There you have it -- the four tiers of the Democratic presidential field. Piece of cake! 

-- Lauren


QUOTE OF THE DAY

"That's not a question of being not tough ... that's a question of being not smart to say something like that."

-- President Donald Trump, criticizing former national security adviser John Bolton's talk about "the Libyan model" as a road map for North Korea denuclearization.
Second Amendment sanctuaries
 
A term for municipalities that have voted to not enforce restrictions on gun ownership such as "red flag" laws.

Example: Colorado recently passed a red flag gun law. More than half of all counties in the state oppose the law, and in response many have passed resolutions declaring themselves "Second Amendment sanctuaries" in protest -- thereby opting out of the law by not enforcing it.

CHRIS' GOOD READS

What the media doesn't understand about Joe Biden, according to Joe Biden's campaign

Brad Parscale, call your office

Can Amy Klobuchar find her moment?

This trio of pieces by William Langewiesche about the recovery and rebuilding after 9/11 was -- and is -- absolutely brilliant

Understanding White Claw's success

Are you a Caroline or a Natalie?

MUSICAL INTERLUDE

After his mother was killed on September 11, 2001, Elvis Perkins wrote "Ash Wednesday," which remains, 18 years later, an album that exactly captures the aftermath of that horrific day.

🚭 FLAVORED E-CIGARETTE BAN? 🚭

The Trump administration has moved to ban flavored e-cigarettes, with guidance coming "in coming weeks," according to President Trump. 

Health and Human Services Secretary Alex Azar, seated in the Oval Office with the President, first lady Melania Trump and the acting commissioner of the Food and Drug Administration, announced that newly proposed enforcement policy would require flavored e-cigarette companies to take their products off the market.

As of Friday, there have been more than 450 possible cases of lung illness associated with using e-cigarettes reported to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention across 33 states and the US Virgin Islands.

LAUREN'S CAMPAIGN TRAIL LATEST

Andrew Yang: Will do "something no presidential candidate has ever done before in history" at Thursday night's debate, according to his campaign.

📧 Send your best guess for what it could be to lauren.dezenski@cnn.com!

ONE BIG NUMBER

38

The number of false claims President Donald Trump made last week, according to CNN's Daniel Dale and Tara Subramaniam.

Of the 38 claims, eight were about a single topic he refused to stop talking and tweeting about: Trump's previous claim about Hurricane Dorian possibly hitting Alabama, which he falsely insisted was correct.
We'd love to share our other newsletters with you. Follow this link for daily coverage of the world's top stories, savvy market insights, an insider's look into the media, and more. Send your tips and thoughts via email to Chris Cillizza and Lauren Dezenski. Follow Chris and Lauren on Twitter.
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